Dhaka Straits Times

Tue, Oct 27, 2026

Bangladesh, China, and the Politics of Strategic Friendship

By Prof Dr Md Momtazur Rahman,

The relationship between Bangladesh and China has entered a new phase in recent years. What once began primarily as an economic partnership has gradually evolved into a broader strategic relationship involving infrastructure, trade, diplomacy, and defense cooperation. For Bangladesh, this relationship is no longer simply about foreign investment; it is increasingly connected to questions of sovereignty, regional balance, and national development.

China today stands as Bangladesh’s largest trading partner and one of its most significant development collaborators. From bridges and highways to power plants and industrial zones, Chinese assistance has become visible across the country. Yet beyond the physical structures lies a deeper geopolitical reality: Bangladesh is trying to position itself carefully in an increasingly competitive regional environment.

In South Asia, geography often determines political destiny. Bangladesh shares historical and cultural ties with India, but relations between the two neighbors have also faced periodic tensions over border issues, trade imbalance, and particularly water-sharing disputes and India’s illogical intervention in politics. Among these unresolved concerns, the Teesta River issue remains one of the most emotionally charged and politically sensitive matters for the people of northern Bangladesh.

For decades, farmers living along the Teesta basin have struggled during the dry season as water flow decreases dramatically. Agricultural production suffers, livelihoods become uncertain, and local communities bear the burden of prolonged diplomatic stagnation. Although discussions over water-sharing between Bangladesh and India have continued for years, no permanent agreement has yet materialized.

It is in this context that China’s proposed involvement in the Teesta River Comprehensive Management and Restoration Project has gained considerable importance. Many in Bangladesh view the project not only as a development initiative but also as a test of national priority and political courage.

Chinese expertise in river management and mega infrastructure development is widely recognized. China has built some of the world’s largest hydraulic engineering systems, modern irrigation networks, and flood-control mechanisms. For Bangladesh, a climate-vulnerable riverine nation, such experience could prove invaluable.

More importantly, the Teesta project is fundamentally about people in the vast area of Northern region of Bangladesh. It is about protecting farmers, preserving agricultural productivity, preventing river erosion, and restoring economic confidence in northern Bangladesh. A successful project could transform the region through improved irrigation, fisheries, transportation, and rural development. As former Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping once remarked, “Development is the hard truth.” For many Bangladeshis, this statement reflects a practical reality: development partnerships should ultimately be judged by results rather than geopolitical rhetoric.

At the same time, Bangladesh’s growing closeness with China is also evident in defense cooperation. Under the modernization initiative known as “Forces Goal 2030,” Bangladesh has sought to strengthen its military capacity through technological advancement and diversified partnerships. China has emerged as one of the principal defense partners in this process, supplying naval equipment, submarines, aircraft, radar systems, and military training support.

Critics sometimes interpret stronger Bangladesh–China military relations as an anti-India posture. However, many policymakers in Bangladesh argue that the issue is not confrontation but strategic balance. Small and medium-sized states often pursue diversified partnerships to avoid overdependence on any single power. Bangladesh’s foreign policy vision with the principle is : “Friendship to all, malice toward none.” That doctrine remains relevant today. Bangladesh does not need hostility with any country, but neither should it surrender its strategic autonomy.

The debate surrounding agreements reportedly signed with the United States during the previous interim government, led by Dr Yunus must also be viewed through this broader lens of sovereignty and national interest. Every sovereign nation has the right to reassess international agreements made by previous governments, especially when geopolitical realities evolve. The present government, led by BNP, must be careful about the America’s interest in the Bay of Bengal and Bangladesh’s sovereignty.

This does not necessarily mean rejecting relations with the United States or any Western country. Bangladesh benefits from constructive relations with all major global powers. However, critics argue that agreements perceived to compromise strategic neutrality or create external influence over domestic decision-making deserve transparent public scrutiny.

Political analyst and former diplomat Kissinger famously observed that “America has no permanent friends or enemies, only interests.” The same principle applies to every nation-state, including Bangladesh. Foreign policy must ultimately serve national development, economic security, and territorial sovereignty.

In the larger Indo-Pacific context, Bangladesh occupies an increasingly strategic position due to its location near the Bay of Bengal. Global powers now see the region as economically and militarily important. As competition intensifies among China, India, and the United States, Bangladesh faces the delicate challenge of maintaining balance without becoming trapped in great-power rivalry.

This is why many observers believe Bangladesh should continue a pragmatic multi-vector foreign policy—strengthening ties with China for infrastructure and defense modernization while maintaining diplomatic engagement with India, the United States, and other global actors. The goal should not be alignment with one bloc against another; rather, it should be the protection of Bangladesh’s independent national interests.

Ultimately, the future of Bangladesh depends on wise strategic choices. The Teesta project represents more than a river-management initiative; it symbolizes the country’s broader struggle for equitable development and sovereign decision-making. If Chinese involvement can deliver tangible benefits to millions of ordinary Bangladeshis, then cooperation should be evaluated on practical outcomes rather than geopolitical suspicion.

Bangladesh today stands at a critical crossroads. It must pursue partnerships that strengthen its economy, modernize its defense capability, and protect its national dignity. In that journey, the growing relationship with China may become one of the defining strategic realities of the coming decades.

The writer is a registrar and professor of English at IUBAT-International University of Business Agriculture and Technology.

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